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June 23, 2026 · TSMC AI-demand surge

台积电:AI需求带动产能紧绷与股价波动

Tái jī diàn : AI xū qiú dài dòng chǎn néng jǐn bēng yǔ gǔ jià bō dòng

TSMC: AI demand tightens capacity and stirs share volatility

进入六月以来,台积电因 COMPUTEX 期间的买盘与市场对人工智能芯片的预期,股价曾一度冲到约新台币2,440元的盘中高点。jìn rù liù yuè yǐ lái , tái jī diàn yīn COMPUTEX qī jiān de mǎi pán yǔ shì chǎng duì rén gōng zhì néng xīn piàn de yù qī , gǔ jià céng yī dù chōng dào yuē xīn tái bì 2,440元 de pán zhōng gāo diǎn 。Since entering June, TSMC's stock once surged to an intraday high of about NT$2,440 due to buying during COMPUTEX and market expectations for AI chips.公司在对股东的说明会上表示,AI 相关的订单非常强劲,要把产能完全恢复到能满足客户需求的水准仍需较长时间。gōng sī zài duì gǔ dōng de shuō míng huì shàng biǎo shì , AI xiāng guān de dìng dān fēi cháng qiáng jìn , yào bǎ chǎn néng wán quán huī fù dào néng mǎn zú kè hù xū qiú de shuǐ zhǔn réng xū jiào cháng shí jiān 。At a briefing to shareholders, the company said AI-related orders are very strong, and it will take a long time to fully restore capacity to levels that meet customer demand.

五月合并营收约为新台币4,169.8亿元,同比增长约30.1%,显示需求对业绩有明显推动。wǔ yuè hé bìng yíng shōu yuē wéi xīn tái bì 4,169.8 yì yuán , yóng zhǎng tǐ qiān yuē 30.1% , xiǎn shì xū qiú duì yè jì yǒu míng xiǎn tuī dòng 。May consolidated revenue was about NT$416.98 billion, up about 30.1% year on year, showing demand clearly boosted results.但先进制程,像是3奈米等稀缺节点供应仍吃紧,市场有分析认为部分3奈米价格可能上涨近15%,也促使客户考虑分散供给来源,有报导指大型科技厂商有意降低对单一代工厂的依赖。dàn xiān jìn zhì chéng , xiàng shì 3 nài mǐ děng xī quē jié diǎn gōng yì réng chī jǐn , shì chǎng yǒu fēn xī rèn wéi bù fèn 3 nài mǐ jià gé kě néng shàng zhǎng jìn 15% , yě cù shǐ kè hù kǎo lǜ fēn sàn gōng jǐ yuán , yǒu bào dǎo zhǐ dà xíng kē jì chǎng shāng yǒu yì jiàng dī duì dān yī dài gōng chǎng de yī lài 。But advanced nodes like 3nm remain tight in supply; some analysts think parts of 3nm prices could rise nearly 15%, prompting customers to consider diversifying suppliers, and reports say big tech firms intend to reduce reliance on a single foundry.

面对持续的AI与高性能运算需求,业界普遍预计台积电将在短期内维持高额资本支出以扩充产能,相关材料与封测供应链也因此受惠,股价连带上扬。miàn duì chí xù de AI yǔ gāo xìng néng yùn suàn xū qiú , yè jiè pǔ biàn yù jì tái jī diàn jiāng zài duǎn qī nèi wéi chí gāo é zī běn zhī chū yǐ kuò chōng chǎn néng , xiāng guān cái liào yǔ fēng cè gōng yìng liàn yě yīn cǐ shòu huì , gǔ jià lián dài shàng yáng 。Facing ongoing AI and high-performance computing demand, the industry generally expects TSMC to keep high capex in the short term to expand capacity; related materials and packaging/testing supply chains benefit, lifting the stock.同时市场波动性增加,随全球与产业面因素会出现回档;tóng shí shì chǎng bō dòng xìng zēng jiā , suí quán qiú yǔ chǎn yè miàn yīn sù huì chū xiàn huí dàng ;At the same time, market volatility has increased and pullbacks may occur due to global and industry factors;公司高层也提到通膨与成本上升会是未来订价时要考虑的变量,但并未承诺具体大幅涨价。gōng sī gāo céng yě tí dào tōng péng yǔ chéng běn shàng shēng huì shì wèi lái dìng jià shí yāo kǎo lǜ de biàn liàng , dàn bìng wèi chéng nuò jù tǐ dà fú zhǎng jià 。Company executives also mentioned inflation and rising costs will be variables to consider in future pricing, but they did not promise significant price hikes.

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